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UN says we're going to blow past 1.5º warming, offers a "now what?" answer

Best case is now an overshoot to 1.8º C, accompanied by massive carbon removal.

A wildfire burning through scrub. A line of flames runs across the center of the image, with blackened terrain at top, and untouched plants at bottom.
Image: Ars Technica
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Best case is now an overshoot to 1.8º C, accompanied by massive carbon removal.

The short version

  • In 2015, all but two countries agreed to make an effort to keep global temperatures from reaching 1.5° C above pre-industrial readings.
  • Since then, most of the world has largely treated what they signed on to as aspirational, and one of the largest emitters (the US) has alternately withdrawn and recommitted to the agreement.
  • Meanwhile, the planet has responded as expected to steadily rising carbon emissions and appears to be practically at the 1.5° limit.

What happened

On Wednesday, for the first time, the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) acknowledged that reality and conceded that the goal of keeping warming below 1.5° was no longer a viable one. Instead, its new goalposts focus on keeping both how long we exceed that limit and how much we exceed it by, at a minimum.

Why it matters

Doing that will require both dramatic emissions cuts now and the removal of hundreds of gigatonnes of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere before the century is out.

Summary by Nerd News Network. Read the full article at Ars Technica via the links above and below.

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