New algorithm could predict Arctic sea ice up to 9 months ahead, offering new climate insights
The research is published in the journal Scientific Reports.
The research is published in the journal Scientific Reports.
The short version
- This article has been reviewed according to Science X's editorial process and policies .
- The research is published in the journal Scientific Reports .
- Called the Random Analog Predictor (RAP), the algorithm uses historical sea ice data to identify past patterns that resemble current conditions and uses what happened next to generate possible forecasts.
What happened
RAP also provides an estimate of uncertainty for each forecast. Arctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate system because it reflects solar energy back into space, while the darker ocean absorbs it.
Why it matters
Changes in Arctic sea ice can also influence atmospheric and oceanic patterns far beyond the region, making it valuable to anticipate these changes months in advance to better understand wider climate impacts.
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